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Intelligently Generating Possible Scenarios for Emergency Management During Mass Gatherings(Changed slightly since original submission) ISCRAM PhD Colloquium 2011Peter SerwyloMonash University, AustraliaSupervisors: Grace Rumantir and Frada Burstein
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Synthesise potentially real scenarios
Assign probabilities of the scenarios occuring
Use these scenarios for simulating resource requirements
Use these scenarios for training
Information Analysts identifying Terrorism (Whiting et al. 2008)
Flu outbreaks (Maciejewski et al. 2009)
Data anonymisation
Event Type Temperature Humidity Attendance AlcoholConcert 30.2 70% 12450 YesFooty 15.0 25% 55300 YesSoccer 23.1 83% 8200 YesProtest 25.4 56% 40100 No... ... ... ... ...... ... ... ... ...... ... ... ... ...
Historical Data
Injury
Thing
Resource
Defibrillator
Bandage
Staff
Paramedic
Physician
FirstResponder
InjuryType
HeartAttack
Dehydration
InjuryTreatment
ALS
ApplyBandage
Ontology
DataSynthesis
Synthetic Data
Simulation
List of Available Resources
Potentially ProblematicScenarios
BetterList of Available Resources
InteractiveTrainingSimulation
Event Type Temperature Humidity Attendance AlcoholConcert 30.2 70% 12450 YesFooty 15.0 25% 55300 YesSoccer 23.1 83% 8200 YesProtest 25.4 56% 40100 No... ... ... ... ...... ... ... ... ...... ... ... ... ...
Historical Data
Injury
Thing
Resource
Defibrillator
Bandage
Staff
Paramedic
Physician
FirstResponder
InjuryType
HeartAttack
Dehydration
InjuryTreatment
ALS
ApplyBandage
Ontology
DataSynthesis
Synthetic Data
Simulation
List of Available Resources
Potentially ProblematicScenarios
BetterList of Available Resources
InteractiveTrainingSimulation
Bayesian Network
HotWeather
Alcohol
Outside
Dehydration
Information Systems
Computer Science
Design Science (Building and Evaluating Artifacts)
Research Activities
Research Output
Build
Evaluate
Theorize
Justify
Constructs
Model
Method
Instantiation
?
Thanks for listening :)